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Trump's compensation demand from Iran deadlocks Strait of Hormuz talks; analyst flags $75–95 price band.
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Brent crude oil futures rose to $88 per barrel on Tuesday morning, while US crude (WTI) climbed to $82.45. According to Sözcü newspaper, both contracts had gained approximately 5 percent the previous Monday.
The trigger for the price surge was US President Donald Trump's demand that Iran pay compensation for lives lost in wars and attacks. The move has made ongoing negotiations over reopening the Strait of Hormuz even more complex.
Approximately 20 percent of the world's daily oil trade passes through the strait; the risk of closure directly affects the cost of crude oil reaching Türkiye and feeds through to fuel prices at the pump.
IG analyst Tony Sycamore characterised the situation as a game of "who blinks first" and predicted that oil could fluctuate in the $75–95 range until concrete progress is made between the parties. US July inflation data due Wednesday is widely seen as the key directional signal.
Brent crude oil rose to 88 dollars per barrel; Trump's demand for compensation from Iran has deadlocked negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts forecast oil will fluctuate in the 75-95 dollar range and that Wednesday's US inflation data will determine the direction.
Since 20 percent of global oil trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz, the risk of the strait closing directly impacts crude oil costs and fuel prices in Turkey. These price movements in Brent crude could soon be reflected in your gasoline and energy costs.

Yusuf Al-Saadi