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🔥 Letzte 7 Tage
Wöchentlicher Sanktions-Tracker und Sektor-Risikopaneele mit Alexei Morozov
Sergei Petrov
Dario Keskin

Frankfurt publishes a payments survey the week it hands out concert tickets. Read the two documents together.

A US cancellation payment to a German utility is a small fiscal signal with a longer half-life than the front end suggests.

Two central banks, two fiscal trajectories, one cross rate stuck in a 40-pip range. The boredom is the signal.

Sterling outperforms the euro by a third of a percent on a quiet bank holiday tape, and the curve story sits underneath the spot print.

The cross is doing nothing. That's the story. Underneath, ring-fence reform and a US troop drawdown are quietly rewriting the gilt-bund basis.

Frankfurt rips, London sleepwalks, EUR/GBP unchanged. The bond desk's tell is in what didn't move.