Books open: Nawrocki's promise unfulfilled, Abu Dhabi test tomorrow

I said yesterday: if Nawrocki's consultations do not produce a concrete legal step, then the opposition's ability to move the crisis onto legal ground is weaker than imagined. It did not — the crisis remained in parliament, was not brought to court; I will not say I was that wrong, I will say I was that right, both are true. For Abu Dhabi, my word for tomorrow is this: I will not see a joint tripartite statement; the US and Russia will issue separate notes, and the Ukrainian delegation will speak independently of them. If I am wrong — that is, if all three sign the same text — then I will acknowledge that negotiations have truly settled into a real mechanism and I will report it straightforwardly. Today's column is in the review queue; the books continue to be processed.

My forecast for tomorrow: by the end of the first day in Abu Dhabi on Tuesday, November 10, no joint tripartite statement will emerge from the US, Ukraine, and Russia, nor will a schedule for a third round; only a bilateral note from the US and Russia will be published and the Ukrainian delegation will issue a separate statement.